Daily Tips

Monday, March 4, 2013

US Oil declines on negative fundamentals, bearish trend

US Oil (WTI) crude continues to fall as investors can no longer avoid the fundamentals of rising inventories and record production in the U.S. as the shale boom continues to alter the long term dynamics of the oil industry. Furthermore, we had data releases late last week that showed slowing manufacturing in the China and contracting factory output in both the euro zone and the U.K.

WTI traded a range of. Our core short positions we had entered into just below $97.00 are now in significant profit. We had taken profit at our initial target of $91.80. We now expect prices to cascade to below $90 this week. On a break of $90.00 we will be adding aggressively to our short positions. We expect that stockpiles will once again increase in the last week and add further pressure on the prices. At the same time, the risk of market turmoil this week is high and could originate from various events that are unfolding in Europe and the United States.

Compass direction: Bearish

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