Daily Tips

Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Market Metaphors and Perception

What we perceive is not just a function of what is out there, but also the lenses that we wear. Many of our cognitive lenses are so much a part of our thinking that we forget they are there. We assume that what we’re perceiving is what objectively exists…but that’s not always the case. Some of the most powerful lenses are the metaphors that we use in describing markets. Consider the following: * A trader views the market as an enemy to be conquered; * A trader approaches the market as a puzzle to be solved; * A trader sees the market as a paradise of potential riches; * A trader regards the market as a mistress to be wooed; * A trader views the market as a dangerous minefield; * A trader looks at the market as a video game. How do these metaphors affect our trading? Our emotional responses...

China Lead Concentrate imports dip 34% y y in February Tin 70%

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China February refined Nickel imports up 8% y y at 13 1Kt

Given only modest signs of improving stainless activity and a firmly shut import arbitrage window (which has been the case since October last year), there is little from a fundamental perspective to explain either the m/m variation or overall y/y strength in refined imports seen during the January-February perio...

Gold price, silver price fall on sluggish demand

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Gold price extends losses on weak demand, global cues; silver slips

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Friday, March 22, 2013

Cyprus Plan B: A defining moment for Silver and Gold

LONDON(Commodity Online): Cyprus turmoil—though a small country it may look to be; too small to be bailed out—has assumed mammoth proportions. The news reports suggest that Cyprus Parliament members are poised to vote on a Plan B. The moment is a defining one as far as silver and gold futures are concerned. The said plan may include setting up an 'investment solidarity fund' that would issue bonds on state assets to raise the 5.8bn euros required. The plan may also see the restructuring of Cyprus banking sector wherein bad assets would be pooled and good assets collated under a different head. The Parliament may also enact laws and impose stringent capital controls so that a capital flight is not seen when banks open next week. Meanwhile, the Governing...

Wednesday, March 20, 2013

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GOOD MORNING TO ALL

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Friday, March 15, 2013

GOOD MORNING TO ALL

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Thursday, March 14, 2013

DATA TO WATCH 2:30pm EUR ECB Monthly Bulletin Day 1 EUR EU Economic Summit 3:30pm EUR Employment Change q/q 6:00pm USD PPI m/m 6:00pm USD Unemployment Claims 6:00pm USD Current Account 6:30pm USD FOMC Member Raskin Speaks 8:00pm USD Natural Gas Storage 10:30pm USD 30-y Bond Auction

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5 THOUGHTS FOR TRADERS - MUST READ

1.  We want all trades to be winners. The foolproof system for trading profits is attractive and the seller of such systems can be convincing, yet the profits are elusive.  The market could care less about our system, a past trading record, or the trading record of the one selling the system.  You do know that the market’s attorney requires that the following be posted in a prominent place…like on our foreheads beside the big L sign!: “Past results are not indicative of future returns.”  By the way, the market says, “you’re doing it wrong”. 2.  We want to add to losers. The last time I checked the only reason we add to a loser is when the discussion is about our weight!  Get on the scales and add up more losing pounds!  Be...

Wednesday, March 13, 2013

Commodity Momentum: Focus on silver

Our commodity momentum monitor is showing no change from yesterday in what turned out to be a relatively quiet day. All four metals however managed to pop higher but so far the follow-through remains elusive with gold getting stuck ahead of USD 1600/oz and silver running tired before attempting a test of the late February high at USD 29.45/oz. Silver has the potential of returning to positive momentum today but it requires maintaining current levels above 29. Oil markets, especially WTI crude oil, ticked higher with the discount to Brent crude narrowing to the lowest level in five weeks. Apart from new pipeline capacity in the US making it possible to move more WTI oil from the production area in the central US to Gulf Coast refineries, the continued easing of the tightening (lower...

LME Base Metals Inventory: Copper +2600, Aluminum -1450, Nickel -270, Lead -1900, Zinc -1125

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Tuesday, March 12, 2013

GOOD MORNING TO ALL

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Monday, March 11, 2013

Crude oil prices fall slightly after US government reports surprisingly strong job growth

The price of oil fell Monday after a stronger jobs growth in the U.S. sparked speculation of an earlier end to the Federal Reserve's loose monetary policy. Benchmark oil for April delivery was down 23 cents to $91.72 a barrel at midday Bangkok time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose 39 cents to finish at $91.95 a barrel on Friday after the U.S. government said employers added 236,000 jobs in February, far exceeding predictions. The unemployment rate fell to 7.7 percent from 7.9 percent. While the improved jobs picture bodes well for growth, analysts said it could also signal an earlier end to the Federal Reserve's bond-buying program, dubbed quantitative easing, which has been instrumental in propping...

Three Stages of Trading

These three are mutually inclusive.  Without each working together to create the whole, managing your trading success will be difficult. Simple really but difficult to manage.  But once managed very difficult to complicate. ACTION + RESPONSE = COMPLICATED AS IT CAUSES CONFUSION PREPARATION + ACTION = COMPLICATED AS IT CAUSES DOUBT PREPARATION + RESPONSE = NOT POSSIBLE WITHOUT TAKING ACTION PREPARATION + ACTION + RESPONSE = MANAGEABLE SIMPLICI...

Friday, March 8, 2013

Beginners Guide For Indian Stock Market

Stock market is a market where each and every person want to try his/her own luck and want to become rich easily and faster. But this is partially true in stock market, here no one becomes rich easier, but yes they can become rich faster. There should be various strategies set by the trader or investor who is going to enter stock market, because without making strategies first nobody ever had won anything. Most of the people who are going to trade in stock market dont know anything about that market, but they just wanna trade or invest to check their luck and destiny and some of the others want to earn maximum money out of it as much as they can. Stock Tips is one which helps us to invest in stock market either it's INDIAN STOCK MARKET or world stock market tips. Today we can...

GOOD MORNING TO ALL

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Thursday, March 7, 2013

TODAY NATURAL GAS STORAGE: EXP: -135B PREV: -171B. ACTUAL IS AT 9.00PM

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Natural Gas analysis: Expects short term rally on 20 day MA crossover

Natural Gas closed lower on Wednesday and the low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If it extends this week rally, January's high crossing is the next upside target. Closes below the 20day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted....

US Oil futures to open steady on positive indicators

US Oil closed lower on Wednesday and the midrange close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signalling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If it extends this week decline, the 87% retracement level of the November-February rally crossing is the next downside target. Closes above the 20day moving average crossing would confirm that a low has been posted....

GOOD MORNING TO ALL

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Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Japan's Nikkei hits new 4.5 year-high, nears 12,000

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GOOD MORNING TO ALL

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Tuesday, March 5, 2013

Trading Wisdom

If we want to be successful as traders it is crucial that we have great filters. We must filter out all the noise that separates us from the actual price action. In the end it is just us versus the market. We need to seek  to learn how to trade from others and not look for trades. We have to play a lone hand because we have our own tolerance for pain, our own goals, and we should have our own trading plan with a robust methodology. Others do not know our time frame and we do not know theirs. Their position sizing may be ten times what ours is. Before we trade we should have a watch list, a risk percent per trade, a methodology, and a trading plan. We should be running our trading like a business not a casino. Information and opinions can bias our trading. Be very careful...

Spot Gold Charts: short term low expected on 20 day MA crossover

Gold closed slightly lower on Monday and the low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signalling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If it extends the decline off last October's high, last May's low crossing is the next downside target. Closes above the 20day moving average crossing would confirm that a short term low has been poste...

Spot Silver analysis: Expects 87% retracement level of June-October rally crossover

Silver closed unchanged on Monday. The low range close set the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signalling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If it extends this month's decline, the 87% retracement level of the June-October rally crossing is the next downside target. Closes above the 20day moving average crossing would confirm that a short term low has been posted....

Monday, March 4, 2013

US Oil declines on negative fundamentals, bearish trend

US Oil (WTI) crude continues to fall as investors can no longer avoid the fundamentals of rising inventories and record production in the U.S. as the shale boom continues to alter the long term dynamics of the oil industry. Furthermore, we had data releases late last week that showed slowing manufacturing in the China and contracting factory output in both the euro zone and the U.K.WTI traded a range of. Our core short positions we had entered into just below $97.00 are now in significant profit. We had taken profit at our initial target of $91.80. We now expect prices to cascade to below $90 this week. On a break of $90.00 we will...

Crude Oil Lower in Asian Trading

Crude-oil futures edged lower in Asian trade on Monday after Nymex tumbled 1.5% Friday on concerns about the $85 billion in U.S. automatic budget cuts started on Friday. Bearish macroeconomic data from China on Sunday added to worries. On the New York Mercantile Exchange light, sweet crude futures for delivery in April traded at $90.44 a barrel at 0628 GMT--down $0.24 in the Globex electronic session. April Brent crude on London's ICE Futures exchange fell $0.04 to $110.36 a barrel. China's official non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index fell on month in February raising concerns about growth in the world's second-largest economy, a Singapore-based trader said. "Over more recent days worries about QE coming to an end in the U.S. and plentiful supply combined with more bearish...

Gold futures tick higher in Asia trading

SYDNEY (MarketWatch) — Gold futures climbed Monday, almost retaking losses made in the previous session, as investors rediscovered some of the precious metal’s safe-haven appeal. Gold for delivery in April GCJ3 +0.11%  added $4.50 to trade at $1,576.80 an ounce in Asia electronic trading hours. Reuters Gold fell $5.80, or 0.4%,...

China Property Shares Drag CSI 300 Down Most in 2 Years on Curbs

China’s stocks plunged, dragging down the CSI 300 (SHSZ300) Index by the most in two years, after the government ordered more measures to cool property prices and growth in the nation’s services industries slowed. The CSI 300, representing the nation’s biggest companies in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, fell 4.6 percent to 2,545.72 at the close, the most since November 2010, while the Shanghai Composite Index (SHCOMP) slid 3.7 percent to 2,273.40, the most since August 2011. China Vanke Co., the nation’s largest property developer, led a gauge of real-estate companies to the steepest tumble since June 2008. Anhui Conch Cement Co....

GOOD MORNING TO ALL

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Friday, March 1, 2013

Indian gold traders shy away from new deals as rupee weakens post budget

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Gold heads for 2nd week of falls as stronger dollar weighs

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10 TIPS FOR TRADERS

1. Bulls make a little. Bears make a little. Pigs get slaughtered In other words, do not be a greedy trader. If you are a bull, don’t expect to get in at the bottom and out at the top. If you are a bear, don’t expect to pick an exact market top and ride a market all the way down to the lowest low. Thinking otherwise allows the destructive “greed” emotion to take over. Greed has been the ruin of many traders. 2. Any fool can get into a market, but it’s the real pros that know when to get out Indeed, market entry is certainly an important element of successful trading. However, exiting the trade is paramount. Many times a traders will allow a market to “go against” him or her for way too long and way too far–meaning big trading losses. See next item. 3. Use protective buy and sell...

GOOD MORNING TO ALL

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